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Cleveland Guardians
1
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
3
100% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 3 H, 1 ETwins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gabriel Arias strikes out swinging.
top 9Chase DeLauter walks.
top 9David Fry called out on strikes.
top 9Travis Bazzana grounds out softly, third baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Royce Lewis.
bot 8Brooks Lee lines out to center fielder Kahlil Watson.
bot 8Austin Martin singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan.
bot 8Trevor Larnach grounds out sharply, first baseman Kyle Manzardo to pitcher Matt Festa.
bot 8Luke Keaschall lines out sharply to center fielder Kahlil Watson.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Rhys Hoskins 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chase DeLauter 2-3 · Kahlil Watson 0-3
Minnesota Twins
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-4, 1 RBI · Josh Bell 2-3 · Luke Keaschall 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.