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Kansas City Royals
6
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
5
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 9 H, 2 ETwins · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brooks Lee flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 9Tristan Gray singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Victor Caratini to 2nd.
bot 9Victor Caratini singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas, deflected by pitcher Lucas Erceg. Trevor Larnach scores.65
bot 9Luke Keaschall lines out to center fielder Lane Thomas.
bot 9Trevor Larnach doubles (10) on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 9Royce Lewis grounds out sharply, shortstop Maikel Garcia to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 9Josh Bell homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Orlando Arcia scores. Kody Clemens scores.64
bot 9Kody Clemens singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Orlando Arcia to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Starling Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nick Loftin 2-3, 1 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4
Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kody Clemens 2-4 · Victor Caratini 1-1, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.