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Kansas City Royals
8
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
6
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 12 H, 0 ETwins · 9 H, 2 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brooks Lee grounds out, second baseman Tyler Tolbert to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 9Byron Buxton walks. Orlando Arcia to 2nd.
bot 9Tristan Gray flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
bot 9Victor Caratini singles on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins.
top 9Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Isbel walks. Starling Marte to 3rd. Josh Rojas to 2nd.
top 9Josh Rojas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Kreidler. Tyler Tolbert scores. Lane Thomas scores. Maikel Garcia to 2nd.86

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kyle Isbel 2-4 · Carter Jensen 1-6, 2 RBI
Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Victor Caratini 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Byron Buxton 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.