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Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789113
Astros · 5 H, 0 ETwins · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jake Meyers grounds out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Kody Clemens.
top 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
top 9Yordan Alvarez pops out to third baseman Tristan Gray in foul territory.
bot 8Victor Caratini grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Luke Keaschall lines out softly to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
bot 8Kody Clemens flies out to left fielder Zach Dezenzo.
top 8Isaac Paredes flies out to left fielder Trevor Larnach.
top 8Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
13 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 2-3 · Jeremy Peña 1-4 · Zach Dezenzo 1-3
Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Caratini 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan Kreidler 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.