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Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 5 H, 1 ETwins · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Byron Buxton pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes in foul territory.
bot 9Luke Keaschall hit by pitch. Orlando Arcia to 2nd.
bot 9Orlando Arcia singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9Victor Caratini grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Brooks Lee strikes out swinging.
top 9Cam Smith flies out to shortstop Brooks Lee.
top 9Christian Walker lines out to first baseman Kody Clemens.
top 9Yordan Alvarez pops out to shortstop Brooks Lee.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
13 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremy Peña 2-4 · Jake Meyers 1-3
Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 2-4 · Byron Buxton 2-5 · Kody Clemens 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.