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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
9
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 5 H, 1 ETwins · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Leo Jiménez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jakob Marsee grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Victor Caratini.
top 9Christopher Morel strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brooks Lee flies out to left fielder Esteury Ruiz.
bot 8Austin Martin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. James Outman scores.19
bot 8James Outman doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Esteury Ruiz. Luke Keaschall scores. Ryan Kreidler scores.18
bot 8Ryan Kreidler walks.
bot 8Royce Lewis pops out to second baseman Xavier Edwards.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 2-4, 1 RBI · Christopher Morel 1-4 · Liam Hicks 1-3
Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Martin 2-4, 3 RBI · James Outman 2-3, 3 RBI · Ryan Kreidler 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.