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Seattle Mariners
7
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 12 H, 1 ETwins · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
bot 9Royce Lewis grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Tristan Gray grounds out to pitcher Cooper Criswell.
top 9Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens.
top 9Julio Rodríguez doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Cole Young scores. Leo Rivas scores.71
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
top 9J.P. Crawford lines out to left fielder Trevor Larnach.
top 9Leo Rivas hit by pitch. Cole Young to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Cole Young 3-4, 1 RBI · Julio Rodríguez 3-5, 2 RBI
Minnesota Twins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Martin 1-4 · Josh Bell 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.