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Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
3
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 7 H, 0 ETwins · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9James Outman strikes out swinging.
bot 9Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
bot 9Austin Martin pops out to shortstop J.P. Crawford.
top 9Julio Rodríguez pops out to third baseman Royce Lewis.
top 9Cal Raleigh out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Cole Young scores. Will Wilson to 3rd.53
top 9J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brooks Lee. Cole Young to 3rd. Will Wilson to 2nd.
top 9Will Wilson walks.
top 9Cole Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Randy Arozarena scores. Leo Rivas scores.43

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
J.P. Crawford 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Young 2-4, 3 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-4
Minnesota Twins
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-3 · Brooks Lee 2-4, 2 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.