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Cincinnati Reds
7
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
4
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 7 H, 1 ETwins · 9 H, 3 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Ryan Jeffers walks.
bot 10Luke Keaschall grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer. Victor Caratini to 3rd.
bot 10Kody Clemens lines out sharply to right fielder Rece Hinds.
top 10Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
top 10Rece Hinds doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Eugenio Suárez scores. Will Benson scores.74
top 10Garrett Acton intentionally walks Will Benson.
top 10Spencer Steer strikes out swinging.
top 10Eugenio Suárez reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Tristan Gray. Elly De La Cruz scores. Eugenio Suárez to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Austin Martin.54

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Friedl 2-5, 3 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-5 · Matt McLain 1-4
Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Caratini 2-4, 2 RBI · James Outman 2-4 · Kody Clemens 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.