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Seattle Mariners
4
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
11
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 5 H, 0 ETwins · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cole Young lines into an unassisted double play, first baseman Kody Clemens. Mitch Garver out at 1st.
top 9Mitch Garver walks.
top 9J.P. Crawford grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Matt Wallner grounds out, first baseman Josh Naylor to pitcher Alex Hoppe.
bot 8Luke Keaschall walks. Kody Clemens to 2nd.
bot 8Kody Clemens singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. James Outman scores. Ryan Jeffers scores.411
bot 8Ryan Jeffers singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Brooks Lee scores. James Outman to 3rd.49
bot 8Josh Bell lines out sharply to right fielder Rob Refsnyder.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-3 · Rob Refsnyder 1-4
Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 2-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Byron Buxton 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tristan Gray 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.