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Cincinnati Reds
2
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 4 H, 0 ETwins · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Byron Buxton grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Tristan Gray strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brooks Lee pops out to second baseman Matt McLain.
top 9Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.
top 9Sal Stewart grounds into a force out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to shortstop Brooks Lee. Elly De La Cruz out at 2nd. Sal Stewart to 1st.
top 9Elly De La Cruz walks.
top 9Matt McLain called out on strikes.
bot 8Matt Wallner lines out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 2-4, 2 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 1-3 · Sal Stewart 1-4
Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 2-4 · Austin Martin 1-2, 1 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.