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Boston Red Sox
9
100% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
5
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 13 H, 0 ETwins · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Austin Martin flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Kody Clemens flies out sharply to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Ryan Kreidler homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Wallner scores. Brooks Lee scores.95
bot 9Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Tristan Gray scores. Matt Wallner to 2nd.92
bot 9Matt Wallner walks. Tristan Gray to 2nd.
bot 9Victor Caratini lines out to right fielder Roman Anthony.
bot 9Tristan Gray singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Marcelo Mayer grounds into a double play, second baseman Kody Clemens to shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Tristan Gray. Andruw Monasterio out at 2nd. Marcelo Mayer out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Story 2-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Andruw Monasterio 3-5, 1 RBI · Roman Anthony 2-4
Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Martin 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan Kreidler 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Victor Caratini 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.