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Boston Red Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
6
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 6 H, 0 ETwins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carlos Narváez called out on strikes.
top 9Jarren Duran lines out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
top 9Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brooks Lee.
top 9Wilyer Abreu grounds out to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Byron Buxton called out on strikes.
bot 8Tristan Gray strikes out swinging.
bot 8Brooks Lee strikes out swinging.
bot 8Kody Clemens hit by pitch.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 2-4 · Masataka Yoshida 2-4 · Trevor Story 1-4
Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 4-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Brooks Lee 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Keaschall 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.