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Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
3
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 5 H, 0 ETwins · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
top 9Kevin McGonigle flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
top 9Javier Báez flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Luke Keaschall flies out to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
bot 8Brooks Lee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Matt Wallner scores. Victor Caratini scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd.13
bot 8Royce Lewis singles on a ground ball to third baseman Colt Keith. Matt Wallner to 3rd. Victor Caratini to 2nd.
bot 8Kody Clemens strikes out swinging.
bot 8Victor Caratini singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Matt Wallner to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Báez 2-4 · Riley Greene 1-4 · Gleyber Torres 1-3, 1 RBI
Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Caratini 1-4 · Brooks Lee 1-1, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.