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Boston Red Sox
6
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
13
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 10 H, 1 ETwins · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging.
top 9Jarren Duran called out on strikes.
top 9Caleb Durbin lines out to left fielder Austin Martin.
bot 8Josh Bell flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 8Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Andruw Monasterio.
top 8Ceddanne Rafaela grounds into a double play, third baseman Ryan Kreidler to second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Victor Caratini. Marcelo Mayer out at 2nd. Ceddanne Rafaela out at 1st.
top 8Carlos Narváez strikes out swinging.
top 8Marcelo Mayer walks.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 2-3, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-5, 1 RBI
Minnesota Twins
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Jeffers 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Byron Buxton 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Caratini 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.