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Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789114
Tigers · 9 H, 1 ETwins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dillon Dingler grounds out, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Victor Caratini.
top 9Riley Greene walks.
top 9Gleyber Torres grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Victor Caratini. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd.
top 9Kevin McGonigle doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Matt Wallner. Javier Báez scores.24
top 9Jahmai Jones strikes out swinging.
top 9Javier Báez doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin.
bot 8Byron Buxton pops out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson in foul territory.
bot 8Brooks Lee called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Báez 2-3 · Kevin McGonigle 2-5, 2 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 2-3
Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Bell 3-4, 1 RBI · Victor Caratini 2-4 · Brooks Lee 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.