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Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
7
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 4 H, 1 ETwins · 10 H, 2 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gleyber Torres grounds out, first baseman Kody Clemens to pitcher Cody Laweryson.
top 9Kevin McGonigle strikes out swinging.
top 9Jake Rogers grounds out sharply, shortstop Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Matt Wallner called out on strikes.
bot 8Victor Caratini singles on a line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Byron Buxton scores. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.37
bot 8Kody Clemens called out on strikes.
bot 8Luke Keaschall walks. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Austin Martin to 2nd.
bot 8Austin Martin walks. Byron Buxton to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 1-3, 2 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 1-5 · Matt Vierling 1-4
Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Luke Keaschall 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Victor Caratini 2-4, 3 RBI · Trevor Larnach 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.