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Tampa Bay Rays
4
0% — our call
Final
Minnesota Twins
10
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityMinnesota Twins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Twins in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921137
Rays · 8 H, 3 ETwins · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Twins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Twins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Junior Caminero lines out to center fielder James Outman.
top 9Jonathan Aranda grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens.
top 9Ryan Vilade strikes out swinging.
bot 8Josh Bell pops out softly to second baseman Ben Williamson.
bot 8Matt Wallner strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luke Keaschall flies out sharply to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 8Carson Williams flies out to right fielder Matt Wallner.
top 8Chandler Simpson grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Kody Clemens. Cedric Mullins to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Williamson 2-4, 1 RBI · Junior Caminero 2-5 · Jake Fraley 1-3
Minnesota Twins
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Tristan Gray 1-2, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Josh Bell 2-5, 2 RBI · Ryan Jeffers 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.