Statball

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Chicago Cubs
6
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
8
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 5 H, 2 EBrewers · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9BJ Murray Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Conforto doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Ian Happ scores. Nico Hoerner scores.6–8
top 9Pedro Ramírez grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Michael Busch scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.4–8
top 9Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Seiya Suzuki scores. Michael Busch to 3rd. Ian Happ to 2nd.3–8
top 9Ian Happ walks. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Michael Busch to 2nd.2–8
top 9Alex Bregman strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Busch walks. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.
top 9Seiya Suzuki walks.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 1-3, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-3 · Carson Kelly 1-3
Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Chourio 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · William Contreras 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Christian Yelich 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.