Statball

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Seattle Mariners
7
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
5
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 10 H, 2 EBrewers · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9William Contreras grounds out, shortstop Brock Rodden to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Jake Bauers strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jackson Chourio flies out to right fielder Victor Robles.
top 9Cole Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Naylor singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jake Bauers.
top 9Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging, catcher William Contreras to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
top 9Dominic Canzone flies out to center fielder Luis Lara.
bot 8Brice Turang grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Josh Naylor 3-5, 2 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-4, 2 RBI · Brendan Donovan 2-3
Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 2-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Jackson Chourio 3-5 · Christian Yelich 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.