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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
4
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789231
Pirates · 3 H, 1 EBrewers · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryan Reynolds lines out to right fielder Luis Lara.
top 9Brandon Lowe flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
bot 8Andrew Vaughn grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Christian Yelich strikes out swinging.
bot 8William Contreras strikes out swinging.
bot 8Garrett Mitchell walks.
top 8Jake Mangum grounds out sharply, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Endy Rodríguez 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 1-4 · Nick Gonzales 1-3
Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
William Contreras 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Yelich 2-4, 1 RBI · Andrew Vaughn 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.