Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
5
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 6 H, 1 EBrewers · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Spencer Horwitz to 2nd.
top 9Spencer Horwitz walks.
bot 8Christian Yelich called out on strikes.
bot 8Andrew Vaughn strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Garrett Mitchell flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 8Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.
top 8Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 8Jake Mangum doubles (12) on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-3 · Spencer Horwitz 1-3, 1 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gary Sánchez 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jackson Chourio 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cooper Pratt 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.