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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
4
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 5 H, 0 EBrewers · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Endy Rodríguez pops out to third baseman David Hamilton in foul territory.
top 9Nick Gonzales flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
top 9Spencer Horwitz grounds out, first baseman Andrew Vaughn to pitcher Trevor Megill.
bot 8Brice Turang flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8David Hamilton flies out to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
bot 8Cooper Pratt lines out sharply to center fielder Jake Mangum.
top 8Esmerlyn Valdez called out on strikes.
top 8Brandon Lowe singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luis Lara. Jared Triolo to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Gonzalez 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Endy Rodríguez 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-4
Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Chourio 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andrew Vaughn 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cooper Pratt 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.