Statball

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New York Mets
3
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
4
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 8 H, 0 EBrewers · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9A.J. Ewing grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.
top 9Francisco Alvarez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Tyrone Taylor scores.34
top 9Luis Torrens lines out sharply to right fielder Luis Lara.
top 9Marcus Semien grounds out to first baseman Jake Bauers. Tyrone Taylor to 2nd.
top 9Tyrone Taylor walks.
bot 8Christian Yelich grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Luis Torrens.
bot 8Joey Ortiz walks.
bot 8Cooper Pratt flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Baty 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Marcus Semien 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · A.J. Ewing 2-5
Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 3-3, 2 RBI · Christian Yelich 2-5, 2 RBI · Jackson Chourio 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.