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Cincinnati Reds
7
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
2
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 11 H, 1 EBrewers · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Garrett Mitchell lines out to second baseman Matt McLain.
bot 9Jake Bauers called out on strikes.
bot 9William Contreras grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Noelvi Marte strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Steer flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
top 9Eugenio Suárez walks. JJ Bleday to 2nd.
top 9JJ Bleday singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick.
top 9Sal Stewart flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Jose Trevino 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · TJ Friedl 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Garrett Mitchell 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jackson Chourio 1-4 · David Hamilton 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.