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Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
4
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 8 H, 2 EBrewers · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
top 9Noelvi Marte grounds out, first baseman Jake Bauers to pitcher Trevor Megill. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd.
top 9Tyler Stephenson doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
top 9Eugenio Suárez flies out sharply to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
bot 8Jake Bauers strikes out swinging.
bot 8William Contreras hit by pitch.
bot 8Brice Turang lines out sharply to center fielder Matt McLain.
bot 8Jackson Chourio singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Pierce Johnson. Jackson Chourio to 2nd. Jackson Chourio advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by pitcher Pierce Johnson.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Noelvi Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Elly De La Cruz 2-4 · Tyler Stephenson 2-4
Milwaukee Brewers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Garrett Mitchell 4-4, 1 RBI · Jackson Chourio 1-3 · Andrew Vaughn 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.