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Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 9 H, 0 EBrewers · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Garrett Mitchell grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Vince Velasquez.
bot 9William Contreras pops out to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Brice Turang grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Alex Bregman lines out sharply to left fielder Jake Bauers.
top 9Seiya Suzuki grounds out, third baseman David Hamilton to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
top 9Michael Conforto homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.82
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jackson Chourio grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
13 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Chourio 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joey Ortiz 1-2 · Sal Frelick 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.