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Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 9 H, 1 EBrewers · 7 H, 2 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
top 9Edwin Arroyo pops out to shortstop Joey Ortiz.
top 9Matt McLain strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Jackson Chourio grounds out, shortstop Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Joey Ortiz homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Sal Frelick scores.35
bot 8David Hamilton out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Sam Moll to first baseman Spencer Steer. Sal Frelick to 2nd.
bot 8Sal Frelick singles on a fly ball to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 8Jake Bauers flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Dane Myers 1-2, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4
Milwaukee Brewers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brice Turang 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Frelick 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.