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Philadelphia Phillies
9
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
8
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 17 H, 0 EBrewers · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Sal Frelick flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 9Garrett Mitchell strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jake Bauers grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Trea Turner called out on strikes.
top 9Trevor Megill intentionally walks Kyle Schwarber.
top 9Derek Hill strikes out swinging. J.T. Realmuto steals (3) 2nd base.
top 9J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
top 9Bryson Stott called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
J.T. Realmuto 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Edmundo Sosa 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 3-5, 1 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Chourio 4-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Garrett Mitchell 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · William Contreras 3-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.