Statball

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San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
8
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 10 H, 2 EBrewers · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis Arraez flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
top 9Rafael Devers strikes out swinging.
top 9Casey Schmitt flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
bot 8Jake Bauers grounds out to pitcher Tristan Beck.
bot 8William Contreras singles on a ground ball to third baseman Matt Chapman. Brice Turang to 3rd.
bot 8Brice Turang singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Jackson Chourio scores.38
bot 8Jackson Chourio doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Christian Yelich scores.37
bot 8Christian Yelich singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee. Garrett Mitchell scores. Sal Frelick scores.36

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Willy Adames 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daniel Susac 3-4 · Luis Arraez 2-5
Milwaukee Brewers
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Bauers 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jackson Chourio 2-4, 1 RBI · Christian Yelich 2-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.