Statball

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San Diego Padres
1
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
7
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 7 H, 2 EBrewers · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
top 9Sung-Mun Song grounds into a force out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to second baseman David Hamilton. Nick Castellanos scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Bryce Johnson out at 2nd. Sung-Mun Song to 1st.17
top 9Bryce Johnson walks. Nick Castellanos to 3rd. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.
top 9Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Nick Castellanos to 2nd.
top 9Nick Castellanos reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
top 9Ramón Laureano flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
bot 8Gary Sánchez flies out to center fielder Bryce Johnson.
bot 8William Contreras called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Castellanos 2-4 · Freddy Fermin 1-4 · Gavin Sheets 1-3
Milwaukee Brewers
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Rengifo 2-4, 3 RBI · Andrew Vaughn 2-3, 2 RBI · Garrett Mitchell 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.