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San Diego Padres
4
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
6
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 8 H, 0 EBrewers · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jackson Merrill grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers.
top 9Freddy Fermin strikes out swinging.
top 9Ramón Laureano walks.
top 9Nick Castellanos grounds out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.
bot 8Joey Ortiz pops out to catcher Freddy Fermin in foul territory.
bot 8David Hamilton pops out to third baseman Manny Machado in foul territory.
bot 8Sal Frelick strikes out swinging.
top 8Ty France strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Andujar 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Freddy Fermin 1-4 · Nick Castellanos 1-4, 2 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Bauers 2-3 · Brice Turang 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.