Statball

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New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
4
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 6 H, 0 EBrewers · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brice Turang homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.34
bot 9Jackson Chourio strikes out swinging.
bot 9Joey Ortiz strikes out swinging.
top 9J.C. Escarra grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Joey Ortiz. José Caballero out at 2nd.
top 9Spencer Jones flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
top 9Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.
bot 8Sal Frelick grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 8Garrett Mitchell grounds into a double play, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice. David Hamilton out at 2nd. Garrett Mitchell out at 1st.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Aaron Judge 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-3 · Spencer Jones 1-4, 1 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Brice Turang 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Rengifo 2-4 · Blake Perkins 1-2, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.