Statball

← All live games · American Family Field

Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
5
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567895
Pirates · 2 H, 1 EBrewers · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Spencer Horwitz strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn lines out to second baseman Brice Turang.
top 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8David Hamilton grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
bot 8Luis Rengifo grounds out, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
bot 8Sal Frelick flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 8Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers.
top 8Nick Gonzales walks. Joey Bart to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 1-3 · Marcell Ozuna 1-4 · Nick Yorke 0-3
Milwaukee Brewers
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Bauers 2-4 · Luis Rengifo 1-3, 1 RBI · Brandon Lockridge 1-2, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.