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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
3
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 9 H, 1 EBrewers · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Tyler Black strikes out swinging.
bot 10Jake Bauers called out on strikes.
bot 10William Contreras grounds out, third baseman Nick Yorke to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 10Spencer Horwitz flies out to right fielder Sal Frelick.
top 10Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to left fielder Greg Jones. Nick Yorke scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Fielding error by left fielder Greg Jones.63
top 10Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, pitcher Angel Zerpa to first baseman Jake Bauers. Nick Yorke to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.
top 10Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to left fielder Greg Jones. Henry Davis scores. Nick Yorke to 2nd.43
top 10Marcell Ozuna walks.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 3-5, 1 RBI · Konnor Griffin 2-4, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-4, 2 RBI
Milwaukee Brewers
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Bauers 2-5 · Tyler Black 2-5 · Garrett Mitchell 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.