Statball

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Washington Nationals
3
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
1
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 9 H, 0 EBrewers · 2 H, 2 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Joey Ortiz grounds out, pitcher Clayton Beeter to first baseman Curtis Mead.
bot 9Clayton Beeter intentionally walks Garrett Mitchell.
bot 9Sal Frelick called out on strikes.
bot 9Brandon Lockridge walks.
bot 9Jake Bauers flies out to right fielder Joey Wiemer.
bot 9Christian Yelich strikes out swinging. Christian Yelich to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Clayton Beeter.
bot 9William Contreras homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.31
top 9Curtis Mead flies out to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Nasim Nuñez 3-3 · Jacob Young 2-4 · CJ Abrams 1-4
Milwaukee Brewers
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
William Contreras 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joey Ortiz 1-4 · Luis Rengifo 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.