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Washington Nationals
7
100% — our call
Final
Milwaukee Brewers
3
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMilwaukee Brewers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Brewers in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892143
Nationals · 11 H, 1 EBrewers · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Brewers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Brewers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9David Hamilton grounds out, second baseman Jorbit Vivas to first baseman Curtis Mead.
bot 9Blake Perkins strikes out swinging.
bot 9Sal Frelick grounds out, third baseman Brady House to first baseman Curtis Mead.
top 9Daylen Lile grounds into a double play, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop David Hamilton to first baseman Jake Bauers. Curtis Mead out at 2nd. Daylen Lile out at 1st.
top 9Curtis Mead reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Luis Rengifo to catcher William Contreras. Drew Millas out at home.
top 9James Wood doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Jorbit Vivas scores. Drew Millas to 3rd.73
top 9Drew Millas hits a sacrifice bunt. Nasim Nuñez scores. Jorbit Vivas to 2nd. Drew Millas to 1st.63
top 9Jorbit Vivas hits a sacrifice bunt. Joey Wiemer scores. Jorbit Vivas to 1st. Throwing error by pitcher Trevor Megill.53

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 4-5, 1 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-3, 1 RBI · Joey Wiemer 1-3
Milwaukee Brewers
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Bauers 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · William Contreras 1-4 · Brice Turang 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.