Statball

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New York Mets
15
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
14
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 15 H, 0 EMarlins · 20 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Graham Pauley pops out to shortstop Francisco Lindor.
bot 9Owen Caissie strikes out swinging.
bot 9Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge. Jakob Marsee to 2nd.
bot 9Jakob Marsee singles on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Otto Lopez scores.15–14
bot 9Otto Lopez triples (9) on a line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Griffin Conine scores.15–13
bot 9Griffin Conine doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carson Benge. Kyle Stowers scores.15–12
bot 9Heriberto Hernández flies out sharply to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 9Kyle Stowers doubles (25) on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge, deflected by first baseman Christopher Morel.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christopher Morel 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Luis Torrens 3-5, 4 RBI · Francisco Lindor 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joe Mack 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jakob Marsee 4-6, 3 RBI · Owen Caissie 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.