Statball

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New York Mets
7
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
5
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 8 H, 2 EMarlins · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
bot 9Owen Caissie strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jakob Marsee doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Joe Mack scores.7–5
bot 9Joe Mack hits a ground-rule double (9) on a fly ball to right-center field.
bot 9Griffin Conine flies out sharply to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9Jared Young grounds out, pitcher Jack Ralston to first baseman Kyle Stowers.
top 9Carson Benge called out on strikes.
top 9Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Juan Soto 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brett Baty 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Francisco Lindor 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 3-4, 1 RBI · Jared Serna 2-3, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.