Statball

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Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
10
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 7 H, 0 EMarlins · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carson Kelly strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Pedro Ramírez called out on strikes.
top 9Gabriel Arias singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Michael Conforto to 2nd.
top 9Michael Conforto walks.
top 9BJ Murray Jr. flies out to right fielder Owen Caissie.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández grounds into a double play, shortstop Nico Hoerner to second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman BJ Murray Jr. Jakob Marsee out at 2nd. Heriberto Hernández out at 1st.
bot 8Jakob Marsee walks.
top 8Seiya Suzuki walks.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-3 · Tyrone Taylor 1-3
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jakob Marsee 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.