Statball

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Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
5
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 13 H, 0 EMarlins · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Otto Lopez flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9Heriberto Hernández strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Stowers grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Matt Shaw flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Pedro Ramírez strikes out swinging.
top 9Nico Hoerner strikes out swinging.
top 9Ian Happ walks. Alex Bregman to 2nd.
top 9Alex Bregman walks.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nico Hoerner 3-5, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 2-4, 2 RBI
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Griffin Conine 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.