Statball

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Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 9 H, 0 EMarlins · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Esteury Ruiz strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Agustín Ramírez flies out to shortstop Nico Hoerner in foul territory.
bot 9Javier Sanoja grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging, catcher Joe Mack to first baseman Griffin Conine.
top 9Alex Bregman lines out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Michael Busch homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field.6–1
top 9Seiya Suzuki grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Griffin Conine.
bot 8Griffin Conine grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nico Hoerner 3-4, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 2-4 · Javier Sanoja 1-4 · Deyvison De Los Santos 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.