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Boston Red Sox
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112
Sox · 5 H, 4 EMarlins · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Connor Wong grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Griffin Conine.
top 9Jahmai Jones grounds out, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Griffin Conine. Andruw Monasterio to 2nd.
top 9Eli White strikes out swinging.
top 9Andruw Monasterio singles on a line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
bot 8Kyle Stowers walks.
bot 8Javier Sanoja singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Esteury Ruiz scores.04
bot 8Joe Mack grounds out to first baseman Nick Sogard. Esteury Ruiz to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Caleb Durbin 2-4 · Anthony Seigler 1-3 · Andruw Monasterio 1-2
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-4, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 2-4, 1 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.