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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
6
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 5 H, 0 EMarlins · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Abimelec Ortiz grounds out softly, catcher Joe Mack to first baseman Griffin Conine.
top 9Daylen Lile flies out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Andrés Chaparro to 3rd.
top 9Jacob Young strikes out swinging.
top 9Nasim Nuñez reaches on a fielder's choice. Andrés Chaparro to 2nd. Andrés Chaparro advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by pitcher Pete Fairbanks.
top 9Andrés Chaparro walks.
bot 8Otto Lopez flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews in foul territory.
bot 8Joe Mack grounds into a force out, second baseman José Tena to shortstop Nasim Nuñez. Jakob Marsee scores. Griffin Conine out at 2nd. Joe Mack to 1st.26
bot 8Griffin Conine singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Jakob Marsee to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 2-4, 1 RBI · Jorbit Vivas 1-4, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 1-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 1-3 · Heriberto Hernández 1-3, 1 RBI · Jakob Marsee 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.