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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
3
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 9 H, 1 EMarlins · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Agustín Ramírez scores. Esteury Ruiz to 3rd. Jakob Marsee to 2nd.23
bot 9Clayton Beeter intentionally walks Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Esteury Ruiz singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Clayton Beeter. Agustín Ramírez to 3rd. Esteury Ruiz to 2nd. Agustín Ramírez advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by pitcher Clayton Beeter.
bot 9Agustín Ramírez walks.
top 9Jorbit Vivas flies out to shortstop Otto Lopez.
top 9Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. Jacob Young scores. Daylen Lile to 2nd.22
top 9Jacob Young walks.
top 9José Tena called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Keibert Ruiz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 3-5, 1 RBI · Brady House 1-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 2-3, 2 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 1-2 · Jakob Marsee 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.