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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 3 H, 0 EMarlins · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9José Tena grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Griffin Conine.
top 9Jorbit Vivas flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Abimelec Ortiz flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández flies out to left fielder Andrew Pinckney.
bot 8Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.
bot 8Otto Lopez grounds out, pitcher Jake Bird to first baseman Abimelec Ortiz.
top 8Brady House flies out to right fielder Esteury Ruiz.
top 8Dylan Crews lines out sharply to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 1-4, 1 RBI · José Tena 1-3 · Andrew Pinckney 1-3
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xavier Edwards 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.