Statball

← All live games · loanDepot park

Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
2
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911
Pirates · 4 H, 2 EMarlins · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Spencer Horwitz grounds out to first baseman Graham Pauley.
top 9Bryan Reynolds flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández strikes out swinging.
bot 8Griffin Conine walks.
bot 8Otto Lopez flies out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 8Xavier Edwards grounds out to pitcher Yohan Ramírez.
top 8Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jacob Gonzalez 1-3 · Ronny Simon 1-2 · Esmerlyn Valdez 1-3
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esteury Ruiz 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Griffin Conine 1-3 · Javier Sanoja 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.