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Philadelphia Phillies
6
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 9 H, 1 EMarlins · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Trea Turner flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Edmundo Sosa flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
top 9Justin Crawford strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Otto Lopez grounds out, shortstop Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Jakob Marsee flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 8Griffin Conine homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Kyle Stowers scores.68
bot 8Esteury Ruiz strikes out on a foul bunt.
bot 8Kyle Stowers walks.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-3 · Brandon Marsh 1-4
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Esteury Ruiz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.