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Philadelphia Phillies
0
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
1
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Phillies · 4 H, 1 EMarlins · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Marsh flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Alec Bohm called out on strikes.
bot 8Esteury Ruiz grounds into a force out, third baseman Edmundo Sosa to second baseman Bryson Stott. Liam Hicks out at 2nd.
bot 8Liam Hicks singles on a ground ball to second baseman Bryson Stott. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.
bot 8Xavier Edwards walks.
bot 8Heriberto Hernández grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 8Kyle Stowers flies out sharply to center fielder Justin Crawford.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan De La Cruz 2-3 · Bryce Harper 1-4 · Alec Bohm 1-3
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Liam Hicks 2-4 · Griffin Conine 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.