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Philadelphia Phillies
7
0% — our call
Final
Miami Marlins
8
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityMiami Marlins
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Marlins in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 10 H, 2 EMarlins · 14 H, 1 E
100%
Marlins win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Marlins win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Griffin Conine singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Heriberto Hernández scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd. Liam Hicks to 2nd.78
bot 9Liam Hicks grounds into a force out, first baseman Bryce Harper to catcher J.T. Realmuto. Esteury Ruiz out at home. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd. Xavier Edwards to 2nd. Liam Hicks to 1st.
bot 9Xavier Edwards singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Alec Bohm. Esteury Ruiz to 3rd. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.
bot 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Jakob Marsee scores. Otto Lopez scores. Esteury Ruiz to 2nd.77
bot 9Kyle Stowers hit by pitch.
bot 9Otto Lopez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Jakob Marsee to 3rd.
bot 9Jakob Marsee singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.
top 9Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 2-3
Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Otto Lopez 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.